Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.994357e-03 0.002182 0.002370 0.002571 0.002780 0.002991 0.003218
2025-02-02 1.730792e-03 0.002032 0.002343 0.002686 0.003051 0.003427 0.003843
2025-02-09 1.543701e-03 0.001946 0.002374 0.002858 0.003386 0.003939 0.004561
2025-02-16 1.369467e-03 0.001859 0.002395 0.003017 0.003707 0.004444 0.005282
2025-02-23 1.080528e-03 0.001616 0.002226 0.002953 0.003780 0.004677 0.005711
2025-03-02 8.513493e-04 0.001418 0.002091 0.002916 0.003874 0.004929 0.006161
2025-03-09 6.769403e-04 0.001266 0.001996 0.002915 0.004002 0.005216 0.006649
2025-03-16 5.399637e-04 0.001144 0.001926 0.002936 0.004150 0.005523 0.007158
2025-03-23 4.500729e-04 0.001074 0.001913 0.003020 0.004369 0.005909 0.007756
2025-03-30 3.572806e-04 0.000985 0.001867 0.003057 0.004529 0.006225 0.008273
2025-04-06 2.748915e-04 0.000897 0.001814 0.003080 0.004668 0.006514 0.008757
2025-04-13 2.056027e-04 0.000815 0.001762 0.003099 0.004799 0.006790 0.009225
2025-04-20 1.438067e-04 0.000736 0.001714 0.003130 0.004955 0.007111 0.009763
2025-04-27 9.302793e-05 0.000661 0.001667 0.003161 0.005111 0.007436 0.010311
2025-05-04 6.610774e-05 0.000630 0.001683 0.003277 0.005378 0.007895 0.011020
2025-05-11 4.441845e-05 0.000601 0.001701 0.003395 0.005647 0.008359 0.011737
2025-05-18 1.024767e-05 0.000485 0.001564 0.003291 0.005630 0.008477 0.012046
2025-05-25 1.790456e-09 0.000396 0.001460 0.003226 0.005658 0.008646 0.012414
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000332 0.001390 0.003207 0.005743 0.008882 0.012860
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000284 0.001342 0.003215 0.005861 0.009158 0.013354
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000260 0.001342 0.003293 0.006072 0.009548 0.013983
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000227 0.001313 0.003325 0.006220 0.009859 0.014517
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000193 0.001277 0.003344 0.006348 0.010144 0.015019